Game 1 of the semifinals was an absolute thriller, a trend that has defined the matchups between the Sun vs Lynx this season. Currently, the Lynx find themselves down 0-1 in the series, and with Game 2 taking place on their home court, it’s a critical opportunity for them to level the series.
Led by Napheesa Collier, the Lynx will look to bounce back after a tough loss. In Game 1, the Sun showcased their defensive prowess, limiting Minnesota to just 70 points. Connecticut effectively matched up with Collier, who managed 19 points on 43.8% shooting—significantly below her first-round average of 40 points per game. Their ability to hold the Lynx to a mere eight points in the fourth quarter was a remarkable feat against a team known for its offensive efficiency, ranking first in effective field goal percentage since the All-Star Break.
If Connecticut can maintain their dominance on the boards (out-rebounding Minnesota by seven in Game 1) and continue to stifle the Lynx’s three-point shooting (only 25% from deep), they will be a formidable opponent.
While it isn’t an elimination game for the Lynx, losing this contest would complicate their path to the finals, requiring them to win three straight games, two of which would be on the road. After scoring over 100 points in their first two playoff games, the Lynx’s offensive struggles in Game 1 were a stark contrast. They must improve their shooting, especially from beyond the arc, where they typically excelled at a league-leading 38% this season.
Prediction and Betting Pick: Back the Lynx’s Moneyline
The Sun vs Lynx have consistently battled closely in all their matchups this season, and Game 2 is expected to be no different. However, Minnesota has a proven track record of making effective game-to-game adjustments, having lost consecutive games only twice throughout the season.
In this matchup, the Lynx are likely to focus on shutting down Marina Mabrey, who has been a key contributor for the Sun in the postseason. While Collier will continue to be a scoring threat, if the Lynx can limit the contributions of other players, they should secure a victory in Game 2.
With Minnesota’s shooting regression expected to bounce back—having rarely failed to hit five or more three-pointers in a game—look for the Lynx to come out with urgency. I’m predicting Minnesota to take care of business and win outright at home.
